Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Merani Tbilisi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerani Tbilisi to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotivi Tbilisi travel to face Merani Tbilisi in the Liga 3 on Sunday 3 May (13:00 WAT). Merani Tbilisi are 5th with 43 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Lokomotivi Tbilisi sit 8th on 40 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Merani Tbilisi's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Iveria Khashuri 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Didube 2014 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Merani Tbilisi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Merani Tbilisi and 1.2 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Merani Tbilisi to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Merani Tbilisi 2–1 Lokomotivi Tbilisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merani Tbilisi60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.75
Lokomotivi Tbilisi25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
3.24Expected goals
2.05Merani Tbilisi xG
1.19Lokomotivi Tbilisi xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Merani Tbilisi 2.0 – 1.2 Lokomotivi Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merani Tbilisi to win✓
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Merani Tbilisi ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merani Tbilisi / FT Merani Tbilisi✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Merani Tbilisi – last 6
WWDLWW
29 Apr
@ Iveria Khashuri
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Iberia 2010
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ Kolkheti Khobi
3–3
D
9 Apr
vs Margveti 2006
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Gardabani
3–0
W
25 Mar
vs Betlemi
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi – last 6
LLDDLL
29 Apr
vs Didube 2014
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Irao
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs WIT Georgia
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Dinamo Tbilisi II
1–1
D
25 Mar
@ Gonio
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Saburtalo II
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merani Tbilisi and Lokomotivi Tbilisi.
What is the prediction for Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
Our pick is Merani Tbilisi to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
On our numbers Merani Tbilisi have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lokomotivi Tbilisi 25%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
Our predicted score is Merani Tbilisi 2–1 Lokomotivi Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
Merani Tbilisi vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
