Value bet: Aragvi Dusheti to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.18
Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti preview and prediction
The match
Aragvi Dusheti travel to Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 12 September (13:00 WAT) to face Merani Martvili. Merani Martvili are 5th with 43 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Aragvi Dusheti sit 6th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Merani Martvili's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Kolkheti Poti 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Aragvi Dusheti's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Shturmi 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aragvi Dusheti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Merani Martvili.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Merani Martvili and 1.2 for Aragvi Dusheti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Aragvi Dusheti to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Merani Martvili 1–1 Aragvi Dusheti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merani Martvili41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Aragvi Dusheti36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.47Expected goals
1.28Merani Martvili xG
1.18Aragvi Dusheti xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.3 – 1.2 Aragvi Dusheti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aragvi Dusheti 36%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–1 Aragvi Dusheti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
