Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Telavi to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShturmi to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Shturmi vs Telavi preview and prediction
The match
Shturmi host Telavi in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Sartichala Central Stadium. Shturmi are 2nd with 49 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Telavi sit 3rd on 47 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shturmi's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Odishi 1919 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Telavi's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Gori 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Telavi 1–1 Shturmi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Shturmi and 1.0 for Telavi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shturmi 43%, draw 22%, Telavi 35%.
Value angle: Telavi to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Shturmi 1–0 Telavi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shturmi43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Telavi35%fair 2.87 · @3.40
2.11Expected goals
1.14Shturmi xG
0.98Telavi xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Shturmi 1.1 – 1.0 Telavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Shturmi vs Telavi?
On our numbers Shturmi have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Telavi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shturmi vs Telavi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shturmi vs Telavi?
Our predicted score is Shturmi 1–0 Telavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shturmi vs Telavi?
Shturmi vs Telavi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sartichala Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.