Value bet: Kolkheti Poti to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamtredia to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti preview and prediction
The match
Kolkheti Poti travel to Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 13 June (14:00 WAT) to face Samtredia. Samtredia are 4th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Kolkheti Poti sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Samtredia's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Gareji 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kolkheti Poti's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Sioni 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Kolkheti Poti 1–3 Samtredia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Samtredia and 1.3 for Kolkheti Poti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Samtredia 44%, draw 21%, Kolkheti Poti 35%.
Value angle: Kolkheti Poti to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Samtredia 2–1 Kolkheti Poti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samtredia44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Kolkheti Poti35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.73Expected goals
1.46Samtredia xG
1.27Kolkheti Poti xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Samtredia 1.5 – 1.3 Kolkheti Poti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kolkheti Poti 35%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 2–1 Kolkheti Poti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
