Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShturmi to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Telavi vs Shturmi preview and prediction
The match
Shturmi travel to Kavkasioni Arena in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday 22 April (16:00 WAT) to face Telavi. Telavi are 3rd with 47 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Shturmi sit 2nd on 49 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Telavi's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Gori 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shturmi's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Aragvi Dusheti 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Telavi and 1.0 for Shturmi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Telavi 37%, draw 24%, Shturmi 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Telavi 0–1 Shturmi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Telavi37%fair 2.71 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Shturmi39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
2.02Expected goals
0.99Telavi xG
1.03Shturmi xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Telavi 1.0 – 1.0 Shturmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shturmi to win✗
39%
2.54
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.28
–
Form
Telavi – last 5
DWLDW
17 Apr
@ Gori
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Samtredia
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sioni
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Merani Martvili
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Shturmi – last 5
WDWDD
7 Apr
@ Aragvi Dusheti
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Gori
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Samtredia
3–2
W
11 Mar
@ Sioni
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Telavi and Shturmi.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Telavi vs Shturmi?
On our numbers Telavi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shturmi 39%.
How many goals will there be in Telavi vs Shturmi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Telavi vs Shturmi?
Our predicted score is Telavi 0–1 Shturmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Telavi vs Shturmi?
Telavi vs Shturmi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kavkasioni Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
