Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Sioni to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.89
Merani Martvili vs Sioni preview and prediction
The match
Sioni travel to Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday 22 April (13:00 WAT) to face Merani Martvili. Merani Martvili are 5th with 43 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sioni sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Merani Martvili's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Kolkheti Poti 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sioni's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to Gareji 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Merani Martvili and 1.2 for Sioni. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sioni to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Merani Martvili 1–1 Sioni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merani Martvili39%fair 2.59 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Sioni39%fair 2.60 · @3.10
2.36Expected goals
1.18Merani Martvili xG
1.18Sioni xG
58%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.2 – 1.2 Sioni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merani Martvili to win✓
39%
2.59
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merani Martvili / FT Merani Martvili✓
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.89
–
Form
Merani Martvili – last 5
LWDLW
7 Apr
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–5
L
3 Apr
vs Gareji
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Telavi
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Odishi 1919
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Gori
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sioni – last 4
LWDD
7 Apr
@ Gareji
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Telavi
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Odishi 1919
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Shturmi
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merani Martvili and Sioni.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sioni 39%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–1 Sioni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Merani Martvili vs Sioni (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
