Value bet: Merani Martvili to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerani Martvili to win49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.21
Shturmi vs Merani Martvili preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Shturmi take on Merani Martvili on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Sartichala Central Stadium. Shturmi are 2nd with 49 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Merani Martvili sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Shturmi and 1.4 for Merani Martvili. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Merani Martvili to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shturmi 1–1 Merani Martvili. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shturmi31%fair 3.23 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Merani Martvili49%fair 2.06 · @2.25
2.45Expected goals
1.04Shturmi xG
1.41Merani Martvili xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Shturmi 1.0 – 1.4 Merani Martvili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merani Martvili to win
49%
2.06
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merani Martvili / FT Merani Martvili
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.21
–
Form
Shturmi – last 1
D
1 Mar
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Merani Martvili – last 1
W
1 Mar
vs Gori
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shturmi and Merani Martvili.
What is the prediction for Shturmi vs Merani Martvili?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Shturmi vs Merani Martvili?
On our numbers Shturmi have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merani Martvili 49%.
How many goals will there be in Shturmi vs Merani Martvili?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shturmi vs Merani Martvili?
Our predicted score is Shturmi 1–1 Merani Martvili, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shturmi vs Merani Martvili?
Shturmi vs Merani Martvili (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sartichala Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
