Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗8% · fair 13.05
Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia preview and prediction
The match
Samtredia travel to Tsentraluri Stadioni in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 7 March (12:00 WAT) to face Aragvi Dusheti. Aragvi Dusheti are 6th with 43 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Samtredia sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Aragvi Dusheti and 1.3 for Samtredia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Draw – a 55% chance at odds of 3.50, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Samtredia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aragvi Dusheti21%fair 4.83 · @2.62
Draw55%fair 1.81 · @3.50
Samtredia24%fair 4.15 · @2.25
2.57Expected goals
1.25Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.32Samtredia xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 – 1.3 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.81
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Samtredia or draw✗
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samtredia / FT Samtredia✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
8%
13.05
–
Form
Aragvi Dusheti
No recent results on record.
Samtredia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aragvi Dusheti and Samtredia.
What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
Our pick is Draw with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.50.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Samtredia 24%.
How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.