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K League 1 · South-Korea · Sungui Arena Park
1–0
FT

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Incheon United to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultJeonbuk Motors to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors preview and prediction

The match

Incheon United host Jeonbuk Motors in the K League 1 on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Sungui Arena Park. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Jeonbuk Motors sit 5th on 49 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Incheon United's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to FC Anyang 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Jeonbuk Motors's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Jeonbuk Motors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 Incheon United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Incheon United and 1.2 for Jeonbuk Motors. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Motors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Incheon United35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Jeonbuk Motors41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
2.35Expected goals
1.12Incheon United xG
1.23Jeonbuk Motors xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Incheon United 1.1 – 1.2 Jeonbuk Motors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJeonbuk Motors to win ✗41%2.462.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.90
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jeonbuk Motors / FT Jeonbuk Motors ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.52–

Form

Incheon United – last 6

LLLWDL
12 Julvs FC Anyang0–1L
5 Jul@ FC Seoul0–1L
12 Mayvs Pohang Steelers0–1L
9 May@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC3–0W
5 May@ Daejeon Citizen0–0D
2 Mayvs Gangwon FC0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Jeonbuk Motors – last 6

WLWDDW
11 Jul@ Ulsan Hyundai FC3–1W
4 Julvs Gangwon FC1–2L
17 Mayvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–0W
13 May@ Bucheon FC 19950–0D
10 May@ FC Anyang1–1D
2 May@ Jeju United FC2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Jeonbuk Motors v Incheon United1–2
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

On our numbers Incheon United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeonbuk Motors 41%.

How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Motors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.