Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Gangwon FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gangwon FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGangwon FC to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Gangwon FC take on Gimcheon Sangmu FC on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium. Gangwon FC are 4th with 51 points from 35 games, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th on 38 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gangwon FC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Vietnam 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Bucheon FC 1995 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gangwon FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–3 Gangwon FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Gangwon FC and 0.7 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gangwon FC 61%, draw 20%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 18%.
Safer route: Gangwon FC or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Gangwon FC to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gangwon FC or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gangwon FC 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gangwon FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.55
Gimcheon Sangmu FC18%fair 5.45 · @4.20
2.34Expected goals
1.63Gangwon FC xG
0.72Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gangwon FC 1.6 – 0.7 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Gangwon FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Gangwon FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Gangwon FC 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
