Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Pohang Steelers to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Daejeon Citizen take on Pohang Steelers on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium. Daejeon Citizen are 3rd with 53 points from 35 games, while Pohang Steelers sit 9th on 44 points.
Form guide
Daejeon Citizen's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Incheon United 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pohang Steelers's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Gangwon FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Daejeon Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Pohang Steelers 1–0 Daejeon Citizen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Daejeon Citizen and 0.9 for Pohang Steelers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Daejeon Citizen 47%, draw 22%, Pohang Steelers 31%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Pohang Steelers to win at 3.50 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Pohang Steelers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Daejeon Citizen47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Pohang Steelers31%fair 3.27 · @3.50
2.15Expected goals
1.24Daejeon Citizen xG
0.91Pohang Steelers xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 1.2 – 0.9 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pohang Steelers 31%.
How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
Our predicted score is Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
