Value bet: Incheon United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.14
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Gimcheon Sangmu FC take on Incheon United on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Gimcheon Stadium. Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38 points from 35 games, while Incheon United sit 6th on 49 points.
Form guide
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Incheon United's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Daejeon Citizen 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Incheon United 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.2 for Incheon United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%, draw 24%, Incheon United 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Incheon United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Incheon United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Incheon United35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.47Expected goals
1.29Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
1.18Incheon United xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.3 – 1.2 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Incheon United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
