Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo La Guaira to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Guaira host Puerto Cabello in the Primera División on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Puerto Cabello sit 3rd on 6 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Puerto Cabello's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Academia Anzoátegui 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.5 for Puerto Cabello. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Guaira 65%, draw 24%, Puerto Cabello 11%.
Safer route: Deportivo La Guaira or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Deportivo La Guaira to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Puerto Cabello. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Guaira65%fair 1.53 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.10
Puerto Cabello11%fair 9.03 · @4.33
2.22Expected goals
1.69Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.54Puerto Cabello xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.5 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Guaira to win✗
65%
1.53
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo La Guaira or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Deportivo La Guaira ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo La Guaira / FT Deportivo La Guaira✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.47
–
Form
Deportivo La Guaira – last 2
WD
6 Mar
@ Estudiantes de Merida FC
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Zamora FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Puerto Cabello – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
@ Academia Anzoátegui
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Zamora FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Guaira and Puerto Cabello.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puerto Cabello 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
