Value bet: Junior to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultJunior to win37% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 9.42
Águilas Doradas vs Junior preview and prediction
The match
Águilas Doradas host Junior in the Primera A on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Grisales. Águilas Doradas are 10th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Junior sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Águilas Doradas's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Bucaramanga 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Junior's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Palmeiras 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Águilas Doradas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Águilas Doradas and 1.2 for Junior. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Junior to win at 3.05 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Junior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas Doradas37%fair 2.71 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.94
Junior37%fair 2.68 · @3.05
2.45Expected goals
1.22Águilas Doradas xG
1.23Junior xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.2 – 1.2 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win
37%
2.68
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
9.42
–
Form
Águilas Doradas – last 6
WLWDLW
7 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
1–4
L
27 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Chico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
DLWLWL
9 Apr
vs Palmeiras
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Deportivo Cali
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Junior.
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Junior 37%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
Águilas Doradas vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Grisales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
