Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Millonarios to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win59% · @1.82
Double chanceMillonarios or draw84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.60
Millonarios vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Millonarios host Santa Fe in the Primera A on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Millonarios are 7th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Millonarios's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to O'Higgins 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Santa Fe's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Penarol 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Millonarios and 0.8 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millonarios 59%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 16%.
Safer route: Millonarios or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Millonarios to win at 1.82 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Millonarios or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Millonarios 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millonarios59%fair 1.71 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.45
Santa Fe16%fair 6.19 · @4.40
2.60Expected goals
1.77Millonarios xG
0.83Santa Fe xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.8 – 0.8 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win
59%
1.71
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Millonarios or draw
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.60
–
Form
Millonarios – last 6
LLDWWL
8 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Once Caldas
4–1
W
18 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Chico
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
DDLWWD
10 Apr
vs Penarol
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Llaneros
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Millonarios or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 16%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
Millonarios vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
