Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Millonarios to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win ✗63% · @1.88
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Jaguares vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Jaguares take on Millonarios on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 00:20 (WAT) at Estadio Jaraguay. Jaguares are 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jaguares's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Deportes Tolima 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Millonarios's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Fortaleza FC 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Millonarios arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Jaguares and 1.9 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Millonarios to win at 1.88 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Millonarios or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jaguares 0–1 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jaguares15%fair 6.54 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Millonarios63%fair 1.59 · @1.88
2.65Expected goals
0.79Jaguares xG
1.86Millonarios xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jaguares 0.8 – 1.9 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✗
63%
1.59
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Millonarios or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Jaguares – last 6
LDLLLL
29 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
1–3
L
24 Mar
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Alianza Valledupar
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Millonarios – last 6
DWWLWW
31 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Once Caldas
4–1
W
18 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Chico
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Millonarios.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Millonarios or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jaguares vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Millonarios 63%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Millonarios?
Jaguares vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
