Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Deportes Tolima take on Águilas Doradas on Wednesday 1 April, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Deportes Tolima are 9th with 26 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Águilas Doradas sit 10th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Tolima's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Jaguares 3–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Águilas Doradas's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Alianza Valledupar 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Deportes Tolima and 0.7 for Águilas Doradas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Deportes Tolima or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Águilas Doradas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Tolima60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Águilas Doradas18%fair 5.60 · @4.85
2.25Expected goals
1.57Deportes Tolima xG
0.69Águilas Doradas xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.6 – 0.7 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.07
–
Form
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WDWWLW
29 Mar
vs Jaguares
3–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chico
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Águilas Doradas – last 4
WDLW
27 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Chico
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Águilas Doradas.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Águilas Doradas 18%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
