Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Valledupar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Alianza Valledupar to win @ 1.86 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Valledupar to win ✓64% · @1.86
Double chanceAlianza Valledupar or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.34
Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Alianza Valledupar take on Jaguares on Thursday 19 March, kicking off at 22:10 (WAT) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Alianza Valledupar are 16th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Jaguares sit 19th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Alianza Valledupar's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with Santa Fe 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Jaguares's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Alianza Valledupar and 0.6 for Jaguares. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Alianza Valledupar or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Alianza Valledupar to win at 1.86 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Valledupar or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Jaguares. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Valledupar64%fair 1.56 · @1.86
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.25
Jaguares12%fair 8.07 · @4.40
2.42Expected goals
1.78Alianza Valledupar xG
0.64Jaguares xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.8 – 0.6 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Valledupar to win✓
64%
1.56
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Valledupar or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Alianza Valledupar ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Valledupar / FT Alianza Valledupar✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.34
–
Form
Alianza Valledupar – last 4
DDLD
15 Mar
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 6
LLLLLW
16 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Junior
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–3
L
18 Feb
vs Santa Fe
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Valledupar and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares?
Our pick is Alianza Valledupar or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares?
On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jaguares 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares?
Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
