Value bet: Bucaramanga to win @ 1.84 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBucaramanga to win ✗58% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Bucaramanga take on Once Caldas on Thursday 19 March, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Américo Montanini. Bucaramanga are 4th with 32 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Once Caldas sit 8th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Bucaramanga's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Deportivo Pereira 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Once Caldas's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Pasto 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Bucaramanga and 0.9 for Once Caldas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bucaramanga 58%, draw 20%, Once Caldas 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Bucaramanga to win at 1.84 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bucaramanga 1–0 Once Caldas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bucaramanga58%fair 1.71 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.30
Once Caldas22%fair 4.63 · @4.45
2.50Expected goals
1.64Bucaramanga xG
0.85Once Caldas xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bucaramanga 1.6 – 0.9 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✗
58%
1.71
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Bucaramanga – last 3
WLW
11 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
3–0
W
6 Mar
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Once Caldas – last 4
WWWL
14 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–2
W
7 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Chico
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Once Caldas.
What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Once Caldas 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 1–0 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Américo Montanini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
