Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✓66% · @1.52
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Deportivo Pasto vs Chico preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Pasto host Chico in the Primera A on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 22:10 (WAT) at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Deportivo Pasto are 18th with 15 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Chico sit 15th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Pasto's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to Once Caldas 2–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Chico's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Millonarios 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Pasto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.6 for Chico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Chico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pasto66%fair 1.51 · @1.52
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.55
Chico10%fair 9.83 · @7.75
2.48Expected goals
1.87Deportivo Pasto xG
0.61Chico xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.9 – 0.6 Chico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win✓
66%
1.51
1.52
Double chance
Deportivo Pasto or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Deportivo Pasto ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Deportivo Pasto – last 4
LWDD
14 Mar
@ Once Caldas
2–4
L
10 Mar
vs America de Cali
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chico – last 4
WLLL
15 Mar
vs Millonarios
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Once Caldas
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and Chico.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chico 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Chico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Deportivo Pasto vs Chico (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
