Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional preview and prediction
The match
Millonarios host Atletico Nacional in the Primera A on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Millonarios are 7th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Atletico Nacional sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Millonarios's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Chico 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game.
Atletico Nacional's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Llaneros 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Atletico Nacional 1–3 Millonarios.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Millonarios and 1.3 for Atletico Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millonarios 38%, draw 24%, Atletico Nacional 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Millonarios 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millonarios38%fair 2.60 · @2.54
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Atletico Nacional37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.31Millonarios xG
1.28Atletico Nacional xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.3 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Nacional 37%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional?
Millonarios vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
