The Primera A sees Junior take on Fortaleza FC on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. Junior are 14th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Fortaleza FC sit 20th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Junior's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Atletico Nacional 0–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Fortaleza FC's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Jaguares 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Junior and 0.8 for Fortaleza FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Junior 63%, draw 24%, Fortaleza FC 13%.
Safer route: Junior or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Junior 2–0 Fortaleza FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Junior63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.65
Fortaleza FC13%fair 7.58 · @5.30
2.79Expected goals
1.95Junior xG
0.84Fortaleza FC xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Junior 2.0 – 0.8 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Junior
Fortaleza FC
Attack vs Primera A average
+13%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.04
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
Junior or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Junior ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Junior – last 5
LDWLW
11 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
0–4
L
6 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jaguares
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Fortaleza FC – last 4
WDWL
5 Mar
vs Jaguares
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Chico
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Junior and Fortaleza FC.
What is the prediction for Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
On our numbers Junior have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
Our predicted score is Junior 2–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
Junior vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
