Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win66% · @1.65
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.78
Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Deportivo Pasto take on Cucuta on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Deportivo Pasto are 18th with 15 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Cucuta sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.7 for Cucuta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Safer route: Deportivo Pasto or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Cucuta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pasto66%fair 1.52 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.60
Cucuta11%fair 8.74 · @5.50
2.55Expected goals
1.89Deportivo Pasto xG
0.66Cucuta xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.9 – 0.7 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win
66%
1.52
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Pasto or draw
89%
1.13
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Deportivo Pasto ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.78
–
Form
Deportivo Pasto – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 2
WD
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and Cucuta.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cucuta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
