Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Deportes Tolima to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCucuta to win ✓36% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Tolima travel to Estadio General Santander in the Primera A on Monday 23 February (22:00 WAT) to face Cucuta. Cucuta are 11th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Deportes Tolima sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Cucuta and 1.2 for Deportes Tolima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Deportes Tolima to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cucuta 1–1 Deportes Tolima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cucuta36%fair 2.79 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.05
Deportes Tolima36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.38Expected goals
1.22Cucuta xG
1.16Deportes Tolima xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cucuta 1.2 – 1.2 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
Attack vs Primera A average
-10%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.13
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cucuta to win✓
36%
2.79
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cucuta / FT Cucuta✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.52
–
Form
Cucuta – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 2
WW
20 Feb
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Once Caldas
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cucuta and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Cucuta have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportes Tolima 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Cucuta 1–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Santander.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
