Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓74% · @1.35
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
America de Cali vs Jaguares preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali host Jaguares in the Primera A on Monday 23 February, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Jaguares sit 19th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for America de Cali and 0.6 for Jaguares. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 74%, draw 18%, Jaguares 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was America de Cali to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: America de Cali 2–0 Jaguares. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali74%fair 1.36 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.45
Jaguares8%fair 12.60 · @10.00
2.77Expected goals
2.21America de Cali xG
0.57Jaguares xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: America de Cali 2.2 – 0.6 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
America de Cali
Jaguares
Attack vs Primera A average
+15%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+43%
Our expected goals here
2.43
0.59
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Double chance
America de Cali or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
America de Cali ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
America de Cali – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Santa Fe
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Jaguares?
Our pick is America de Cali to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win America de Cali vs Jaguares?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Jaguares 8%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Jaguares?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 2–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Jaguares?
America de Cali vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
