Value bet: Junior to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.18
Santa Fe vs Junior preview and prediction
The match
Junior travel to Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin in the Primera A on Sunday 22 February (22:00 WAT) to face Santa Fe. Santa Fe are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Junior sit 13th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Santa Fe and 1.2 for Junior. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Fe 44%, draw 22%, Junior 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Junior to win at 3.55 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Santa Fe 1–1 Junior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Fe44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Junior34%fair 2.98 · @3.55
2.54Expected goals
1.38Santa Fe xG
1.16Junior xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.4 – 1.2 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✓
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.18
–
Form
Santa Fe – last 2
LL
18 Feb
@ Jaguares
1–3
L
14 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Junior – last 1
W
19 Feb
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Junior.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Junior?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Junior 34%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Junior?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Junior?
Santa Fe vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
