Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira preview and prediction
The match
Independiente Medellin host Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Independiente Medellin are 6th with 29 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Pereira sit 17th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Independiente Medellin and 0.7 for Deportivo Pereira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 2–0 Deportivo Pereira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Medellin65%fair 1.54 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Deportivo Pereira13%fair 7.58 · @9.10
2.63Expected goals
1.90Independiente Medellin xG
0.73Deportivo Pereira xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.9 – 0.7 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✗
65%
1.54
1.38
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.28
–
Form
Independiente Medellin
No recent results on record.
Deportivo Pereira
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Pereira 13%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 2–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
