Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultU. Catolica to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
U. Catolica vs Nublense preview and prediction
The match
Nublense travel to Claro Arena in the Primera División on Sunday 23 August (01:00 WAT) to face U. Catolica. U. Catolica are 3rd with 49 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Nublense sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
U. Catolica's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Estudiantes L.P. 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Nublense's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Union La Calera 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nublense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 March 2026, finished Nublense 1–0 U. Catolica. Across their last 2 meetings U. Catolica have won 1, Nublense 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for U. Catolica and 1.1 for Nublense. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: U. Catolica 58%, draw 22%, Nublense 19%.
Safer route: U. Catolica or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: U. Catolica 2–1 Nublense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U. Catolica58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Nublense19%fair 5.17 · @4.50
3.11Expected goals
2.02U. Catolica xG
1.09Nublense xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: U. Catolica 2.0 – 1.1 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Nublense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Nublense?
On our numbers U. Catolica have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nublense 19%.
How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Nublense?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is U. Catolica 2–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is U. Catolica vs Nublense?
U. Catolica vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
