Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: D. La Serena to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. La Serena to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceD. La Serena or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.52
D. La Serena vs Cobresal preview and prediction
The match
D. La Serena host Cobresal in the Primera División on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at La Portada. D. La Serena are 9th with 37 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Cobresal sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
D. La Serena's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Universidad de Concepcion 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cobresal's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Concepción 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 July 2026, finished Cobresal 0–1 D. La Serena. Across their last 3 meetings D. La Serena have won 2, Cobresal 0, with 1 draw and 0.7 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for D. La Serena and 0.9 for Cobresal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. La Serena 64%, draw 20%, Cobresal 16%.
Safer route: D. La Serena or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: D. La Serena to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: D. La Serena 2–0 Cobresal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. La Serena64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.75
Cobresal16%fair 6.27 · @4.10
3.05Expected goals
2.11D. La Serena xG
0.94Cobresal xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 2.1 – 0.9 Cobresal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cobresal 16%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 2–0 Cobresal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
D. La Serena vs Cobresal (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at La Portada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
