ResultUniversidad de Concepcion to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano preview and prediction
The match
A. Italiano travel to Estadio Ester Roa in the Primera División on Saturday 1 August (01:00 WAT) to face Universidad de Concepcion. Universidad de Concepcion are 15th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while A. Italiano sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Universidad de Concepcion's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Rangers de Talca 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
A. Italiano's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Universidad de Chile 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
A. Italiano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Universidad de Concepcion and 1.3 for A. Italiano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad de Concepcion 41%, draw 23%, A. Italiano 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 A. Italiano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad de Concepcion41%fair 2.43 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.35
A. Italiano36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
2.63Expected goals
1.37Universidad de Concepcion xG
1.26A. Italiano xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Universidad de Concepcion 1.4 – 1.3 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Concepcion to win✗
41%
2.43
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Concepcion / FT Universidad de Concepcion✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Universidad de Concepcion – last 6
WLDLLL
5 Jul
vs Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
1 Jul
vs Nublense
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ Curico Unido
2–2
D
26 Jun
@ Nublense
2–4
L
20 Jun
@ Rangers de Talca
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ U. Catolica
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
A. Italiano – last 6
LWLWWW
26 Jul
vs Universidad de Chile
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Magallanes
1–0
W
5 Jul
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
1–2
L
30 Jun
vs Palestino
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs Magallanes
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Palestino
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Concepcion and A. Italiano.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano?
On our numbers Universidad de Concepcion have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and A. Italiano 36%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano?
Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ester Roa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
