Cobresal vs Union La Calera preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Cobresal take on Union La Calera on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at El Cobre. Cobresal are 14th with 27 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Union La Calera sit 16th on 24 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cobresal's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Huachipato 3–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Union La Calera's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Everton de Vina 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union La Calera arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Cobresal and 1.3 for Union La Calera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cobresal 44%, draw 22%, Union La Calera 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Cobresal 1–1 Union La Calera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cobresal44%fair 2.28 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Union La Calera34%fair 2.90 · @2.88
2.83Expected goals
1.52Cobresal xG
1.31Union La Calera xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cobresal 1.5 – 1.3 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobresal to win✓
44%
2.28
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobresal / FT Cobresal✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.17
–
Form
Cobresal – last 6
DLDLLD
25 Jul
@ Huachipato
3–3
D
12 Jul
@ Antofagasta
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
1 Jul
vs D. La Serena
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Antofagasta
0–1
L
24 Jun
@ D. La Serena
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union La Calera – last 6
DWLDWW
28 Jul
vs Everton de Vina
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–0
W
9 Jul
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
2 Jul
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Santiago Wanderers
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobresal and Union La Calera.
What is the prediction for Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers Cobresal have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union La Calera 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is Cobresal 1–1 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
Cobresal vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at El Cobre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
