Value bet: O'Higgins to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNublense to win45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.55
Nublense vs O'Higgins preview and prediction
The match
Nublense host O'Higgins in the Primera División on Saturday 25 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas. Nublense are 10th with 35 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while O'Higgins sit 12th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nublense's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Everton de Vina 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
O'Higgins's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Nublense and 1.1 for O'Higgins. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: O'Higgins to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nublense 1–1 O'Higgins. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nublense45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
O'Higgins33%fair 3.00 · @3.35
2.43Expected goals
1.33Nublense xG
1.10O'Higgins xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.3 – 1.1 O'Higgins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nublense to win
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nublense / FT Nublense
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.55
–
Form
Nublense – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
O'Higgins – last 6
LLWWWW
14 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
11 Apr
vs Huachipato
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Millonarios
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs A. Italiano
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Palestino
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Everton de Vina
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and O'Higgins.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nublense vs O'Higgins?
On our numbers Nublense have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and O'Higgins 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs O'Higgins?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs O'Higgins?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 O'Higgins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs O'Higgins?
Nublense vs O'Higgins (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
