Value bet: Deportes Limache to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Limache to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees A. Italiano take on Deportes Limache on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida. A. Italiano are 13th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Deportes Limache sit 4th on 40 points (in the top four).
Form guide
A. Italiano's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Huachipato 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Deportes Limache's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Universidad de Concepcion 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportes Limache arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for A. Italiano and 1.5 for Deportes Limache. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: A. Italiano 36%, draw 23%, Deportes Limache 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Deportes Limache to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: A. Italiano 1–1 Deportes Limache. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
A. Italiano36%fair 2.81 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Deportes Limache42%fair 2.41 · @2.60
2.85Expected goals
1.36A. Italiano xG
1.49Deportes Limache xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.4 – 1.5 Deportes Limache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Limache to win✗
42%
2.41
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Limache / FT Deportes Limache✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
A. Italiano – last 6
LWLLLW
20 Apr
@ Huachipato
2–3
L
15 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
9 Apr
vs Olimpia
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ O'Higgins
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Universidad de Chile
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs D. La Serena
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportes Limache – last 6
WLWDDD
18 Apr
vs Universidad de Concepcion
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Palestino
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Palestino
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ O'Higgins
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between A. Italiano and Deportes Limache.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportes Limache 42%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 Deportes Limache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache?
A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
