Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Coquimbo Unido to win @ 1.94 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win58% · @1.94
Double chanceCoquimbo Unido or draw85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.14
Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Coquimbo Unido take on Nublense on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Coquimbo Unido are 6th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Nublense sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Universitario 2–0 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nublense's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Everton de Vina 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Coquimbo Unido and 0.7 for Nublense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Coquimbo Unido or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Coquimbo Unido to win at 1.94 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Coquimbo Unido or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Nublense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coquimbo Unido58%fair 1.72 · @1.94
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Nublense15%fair 6.55 · @3.85
2.28Expected goals
1.59Coquimbo Unido xG
0.69Nublense xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.6 – 0.7 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coquimbo Unido to win
58%
1.72
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Coquimbo Unido or draw
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.14
–
Form
Coquimbo Unido – last 5
WDWWL
15 Apr
@ Universitario
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Club Nacional
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Concepción
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Huachipato
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ U. Catolica
1–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coquimbo Unido and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
Our pick is Coquimbo Unido or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nublense 15%.
How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
