Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win62% · @1.50
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.94
Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena preview and prediction
The match
D. La Serena travel to face Universidad de Chile in the Primera División on Sunday 5 April (23:00 WAT). Universidad de Chile are 2nd with 51 points from 27 games (in the top four), while D. La Serena sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Universidad de Chile's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat A. Italiano 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
D. La Serena's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to A. Italiano 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
D. La Serena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Universidad de Chile 2–2 D. La Serena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Universidad de Chile and 0.6 for D. La Serena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad de Chile 62%, draw 23%, D. La Serena 15%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Universidad de Chile 1–0 D. La Serena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad de Chile62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
D. La Serena15%fair 6.45 · @6.25
2.26Expected goals
1.62Universidad de Chile xG
0.65D. La Serena xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Universidad de Chile 1.6 – 0.6 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers Universidad de Chile have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and D. La Serena 15%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Chile 1–0 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena?
Universidad de Chile vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
