Value bet: Nublense to win @ 2.58 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNublense to win ✗44% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Everton de Vina vs Nublense preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Everton de Vina take on Nublense on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sausalito. Everton de Vina are 5th with 40 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Nublense sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Everton de Vina's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Deportes Limache 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nublense's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Universidad de Concepcion 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nublense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Everton de Vina and 1.3 for Nublense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Everton de Vina 33%, draw 22%, Nublense 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Nublense to win at 2.58 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Everton de Vina 1–1 Nublense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Everton de Vina33%fair 3.00 · @2.58
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Nublense44%fair 2.25 · @2.58
2.30Expected goals
1.04Everton de Vina xG
1.26Nublense xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Everton de Vina 1.0 – 1.3 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nublense to win✗
44%
2.25
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nublense / FT Nublense✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Everton de Vina – last 6
LLWDWL
1 Apr
vs Deportes Limache
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Palestino
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ U. Catolica
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ A. Italiano
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
WWDDWL
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton de Vina and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
On our numbers Everton de Vina have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nublense 44%.
How many goals will there be in Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Everton de Vina 1–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
Everton de Vina vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sausalito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
