Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceFBK Karlstad or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg preview and prediction
The match
Karlberg travel to face FBK Karlstad in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). FBK Karlstad are 6th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Karlberg sit 10th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FBK Karlstad's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Assyriska FF 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Karlberg's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Vasalund 3–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for FBK Karlstad and 0.9 for Karlberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: FBK Karlstad to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FBK Karlstad or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FBK Karlstad 2–0 Karlberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBK Karlstad66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
Karlberg13%fair 7.44 · @3.70
3.02Expected goals
2.14FBK Karlstad xG
0.88Karlberg xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 2.1 – 0.9 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
Our pick is FBK Karlstad or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlberg 13%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 2–0 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
