Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✗68% · @1.53
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Arlanda vs Järfälla preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda host Järfälla in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Järfälla sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to IF Karlstad 0–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Järfälla's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Umeå FC 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 June 2026, finished Järfälla 0–2 Arlanda. Across their last 2 meetings Arlanda have won 2, Järfälla 0, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Arlanda and 0.9 for Järfälla. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arlanda 68%, draw 18%, Järfälla 14%.
Safer route: Arlanda or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arlanda to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arlanda 2–0 Järfälla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Järfälla14%fair 7.30 · @4.50
3.23Expected goals
2.30Arlanda xG
0.93Järfälla xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.3 – 0.9 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Arlanda to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Arlanda vs Järfälla?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Järfälla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Järfälla?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–0 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Järfälla?
Arlanda vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
