Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Eskilstuna to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Eskilstuna to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceAFC Eskilstuna or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF preview and prediction
The match
Gefle IF travel to Tunavallen in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 20 September (15:00 WAT) to face AFC Eskilstuna. AFC Eskilstuna are 4th with 53 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Gefle IF sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AFC Eskilstuna's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Assyriska FF 5–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Gefle IF's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Arlanda 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AFC Eskilstuna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for AFC Eskilstuna and 1.0 for Gefle IF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Eskilstuna 64%, draw 21%, Gefle IF 14%.
Safer route: AFC Eskilstuna or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: AFC Eskilstuna to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Eskilstuna or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Eskilstuna 2–0 Gefle IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Eskilstuna64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Gefle IF14%fair 7.00 · @3.90
3.16Expected goals
2.20AFC Eskilstuna xG
0.96Gefle IF xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: AFC Eskilstuna 2.2 – 1.0 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Eskilstuna to win✗
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
AFC Eskilstuna or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
AFC Eskilstuna ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Eskilstuna / FT AFC Eskilstuna✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
AFC Eskilstuna – last 6
WWWWWD
17 Sep
@ Assyriska FF
5–2
W
13 Sep
vs Piteå
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ IF Karlstad
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Sollentuna
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Karlberg
3–0
W
18 Aug
vs Oddevold
3–3
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
LWLDWW
16 Sep
vs Arlanda
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Järfälla
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sollentuna
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs IF Karlstad
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Assyriska FF
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Umeå FC
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Eskilstuna and Gefle IF.
What is the prediction for AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
Our pick is AFC Eskilstuna or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers AFC Eskilstuna have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gefle IF 14%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is AFC Eskilstuna 2–0 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tunavallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
