Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarlberg to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Piteå vs Karlberg preview and prediction
The match
Piteå host Karlberg in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at LF Arena. Piteå are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Karlberg sit 10th on 37 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Piteå's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to FBK Karlstad 3–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Karlberg's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Hammarby Talang 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karlberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 June 2026, finished Karlberg 3–1 Piteå.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Piteå and 2.0 for Karlberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piteå 23%, draw 15%, Karlberg 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karlberg to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Piteå 1–2 Karlberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piteå23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Draw15%fair 6.51 · @3.40
Karlberg62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
3.08Expected goals
1.07Piteå xG
2.01Karlberg xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.1 – 2.0 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Karlberg to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Piteå vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Piteå have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Karlberg 62%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–2 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Karlberg?
Piteå vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
