Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Arlanda vs Umeå FC preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda host Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Umeå FC sit 8th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Stocksund 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Umeå FC's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Vasalund 3–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Umeå FC 0–1 Arlanda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Arlanda and 1.1 for Umeå FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arlanda 61%, draw 16%, Umeå FC 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arlanda to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arlanda 2–1 Umeå FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @3.75
Umeå FC23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
3.03Expected goals
1.97Arlanda xG
1.06Umeå FC xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.0 – 1.1 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Arlanda to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Umeå FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
Arlanda vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
