Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓65% · @1.52
Double chanceFBK Karlstad or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
FBK Karlstad vs Piteå preview and prediction
The match
Piteå travel to face FBK Karlstad in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 30 August (12:00 WAT). FBK Karlstad are 6th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Piteå sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FBK Karlstad's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Arlanda 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Piteå's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Hammarby Talang 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FBK Karlstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Piteå 1–5 FBK Karlstad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for FBK Karlstad and 0.9 for Piteå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was FBK Karlstad to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: FBK Karlstad 2–0 Piteå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBK Karlstad65%fair 1.55 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.90
Piteå14%fair 6.96 · @4.90
3.00Expected goals
2.10FBK Karlstad xG
0.90Piteå xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 2.1 – 0.9 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FBK Karlstad to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piteå 14%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 2–0 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
FBK Karlstad vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.