Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: AFC Eskilstuna to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Eskilstuna to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna preview and prediction
The match
Umeå FC host AFC Eskilstuna in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Umea Energi Arena. Umeå FC are 8th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while AFC Eskilstuna sit 4th on 53 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Umeå FC's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to AFC Eskilstuna 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
AFC Eskilstuna's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Umeå FC 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
AFC Eskilstuna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished AFC Eskilstuna 1–0 Umeå FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Umeå FC and 1.6 for AFC Eskilstuna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Umeå FC 39%, draw 21%, AFC Eskilstuna 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.38.
Value angle: AFC Eskilstuna to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Umeå FC 1–2 AFC Eskilstuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Umeå FC39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.80
AFC Eskilstuna40%fair 2.49 · @2.90
3.24Expected goals
1.60Umeå FC xG
1.63AFC Eskilstuna xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.6 – 1.6 AFC Eskilstuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Eskilstuna 40%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–2 AFC Eskilstuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?
Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
