Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✗65% · @1.36
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Arlanda vs Piteå preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda host Piteå in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Piteå sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Hammarby Talang 1–5 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Piteå's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Gefle IF 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Piteå 1–2 Arlanda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Arlanda and 0.9 for Piteå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arlanda 65%, draw 23%, Piteå 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Arlanda 2–1 Piteå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.60
Piteå12%fair 8.21 · @6.40
3.10Expected goals
2.20Arlanda xG
0.90Piteå xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.2 – 0.9 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Arlanda vs Piteå?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Piteå 12%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Piteå?
Arlanda vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
