Stocksund host Karlberg in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Danderyd IP. Stocksund are 16th with 18 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Karlberg sit 10th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stocksund's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Sollentuna 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Karlberg's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat AFC Eskilstuna 2–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Karlberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.7 for Stocksund and 2.0 for Karlberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 68%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Stocksund 1–2 Karlberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stocksund33%fair 2.99 · @2.65
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.80
Karlberg48%fair 2.10 · @2.15
3.73Expected goals
1.69Stocksund xG
2.04Karlberg xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Stocksund 1.7 – 2.0 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karlberg to win✓
48%
2.10
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Half-time result
Karlberg ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karlberg / FT Karlberg✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.83
–
Form
Stocksund – last 6
DLLDWL
25 Jul
@ Sollentuna
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Gefle IF
1–2
L
18 Jun
@ Arlanda
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Sollentuna
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Järfälla
6–1
W
4 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 6
WWWWLW
25 Jul
@ AFC Eskilstuna
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ Sollentuna
2–1
W
24 Jun
vs Piteå
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ Vasalund
4–0
W
14 Jun
vs Hammarby Talang
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Unik FK
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stocksund and Karlberg.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Stocksund vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Stocksund have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Karlberg 48%.
How many goals will there be in Stocksund vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stocksund vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Stocksund 1–2 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Stocksund vs Karlberg?
Stocksund vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Danderyd IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
