Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGefle IF to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Piteå vs Gefle IF preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Piteå take on Gefle IF on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at LF Arena. Piteå are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Gefle IF sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Piteå's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Karlberg 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Gefle IF's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Stocksund 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Piteå and 1.7 for Gefle IF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piteå 34%, draw 20%, Gefle IF 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Piteå 1–1 Gefle IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piteå34%fair 2.97 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Gefle IF46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
3.18Expected goals
1.44Piteå xG
1.74Gefle IF xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.4 – 1.7 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gefle IF to win✓
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF✓
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Piteå – last 6
LDLLWD
24 Jun
@ Karlberg
1–3
L
21 Jun
vs AFC Eskilstuna
2–2
D
12 Jun
@ Umeå FC
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Enköping
0–2
L
3 Jun
@ Ostra Ersboda
3–2
W
31 May
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
WLLDLW
27 Jun
vs Stocksund
2–1
W
18 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ IF Karlstad
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Falu BS
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Hammarby Talang
0–4
L
1 Jun
@ Arlanda
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Piteå vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Piteå have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gefle IF 46%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Gefle IF?
Piteå vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
