Value bet: Gefle IF to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGefle IF to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.04
Gefle IF vs Stocksund preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Gefle IF take on Stocksund on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gavlevallen. Gefle IF are 9th with 41 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Stocksund sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gefle IF's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Stocksund's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Arlanda 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Gefle IF and 1.4 for Stocksund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gefle IF 60%, draw 16%, Stocksund 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.35.
Value angle: Gefle IF to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Gefle IF 2–1 Stocksund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gefle IF60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @4.00
Stocksund24%fair 4.18 · @3.35
3.76Expected goals
2.35Gefle IF xG
1.41Stocksund xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Gefle IF 2.4 – 1.4 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gefle IF to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.93
Half-time result
Gefle IF ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.04
–
Form
Gefle IF – last 6
LLDLWL
18 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ IF Karlstad
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Falu BS
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Hammarby Talang
0–4
L
1 Jun
@ Arlanda
3–2
W
23 May
@ Järfälla
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stocksund – last 6
LDWLDD
18 Jun
@ Arlanda
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Sollentuna
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Järfälla
6–1
W
4 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
31 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
23 May
vs Assyriska FF
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gefle IF and Stocksund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gefle IF vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Gefle IF have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Stocksund 24%.
How many goals will there be in Gefle IF vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gefle IF vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Gefle IF 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Gefle IF vs Stocksund?
Gefle IF vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gavlevallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
