The Ettan Norra sees Arlanda take on IF Karlstad on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Midgardsvallen. Arlanda are 3rd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while IF Karlstad sit 7th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arlanda's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Järfälla 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IF Karlstad's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Assyriska FF 2–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Arlanda and 1.5 for IF Karlstad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arlanda 32%, draw 20%, IF Karlstad 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Arlanda 1–1 IF Karlstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arlanda32%fair 3.11 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.55
IF Karlstad48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
2.62Expected goals
1.15Arlanda xG
1.48IF Karlstad xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arlanda 1.1 – 1.5 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Karlstad to win✗
48%
2.10
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.33
–
Form
Arlanda – last 6
WWWWLD
23 Jun
@ Järfälla
2–0
W
18 Jun
vs Stocksund
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Järfälla
3–2
W
7 Jun
vs Assyriska FF
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–3
L
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
IF Karlstad – last 6
DWWWDW
21 Jun
@ Assyriska FF
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
@ Eker Örebro
3–0
W
5 Jun
@ FBK Karlstad
3–2
W
30 May
vs Sollentuna
0–0
D
24 May
@ Umeå FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and IF Karlstad.
What is the prediction for Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and IF Karlstad 48%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–1 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
Arlanda vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
