Umeå FC host Stocksund in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Umea Energi Arena. Umeå FC are 8th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Stocksund sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Umeå FC's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to IF Karlstad 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Stocksund's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Assyriska FF 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Umeå FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.6 for Umeå FC and 1.1 for Stocksund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Umeå FC 67%, draw 22%, Stocksund 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Umeå FC 2–1 Stocksund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Umeå FC67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.60
Stocksund12%fair 8.55 · @5.60
3.66Expected goals
2.56Umeå FC xG
1.09Stocksund xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 2.6 – 1.1 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Double chance
Umeå FC or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Half-time result
Umeå FC ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Umeå FC – last 6
LDWDWL
24 May
vs IF Karlstad
0–2
L
17 May
@ FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stocksund – last 6
DLLDDL
23 May
vs Assyriska FF
3–3
D
17 May
vs Piteå
2–3
L
14 May
@ IF Karlstad
0–1
L
1 May
vs Vasalund
2–2
D
20 Apr
vs AFC Eskilstuna
4–4
D
4 Apr
@ Enköping
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Stocksund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stocksund 12%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
Umeå FC vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
