Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Norra sees Karlberg take on FBK Karlstad on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadshagens IP. Karlberg are 10th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while FBK Karlstad sit 6th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Karlberg's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Stockholm Internazionale 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
FBK Karlstad's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Arlanda 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
FBK Karlstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Karlberg and 1.6 for FBK Karlstad. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: FBK Karlstad to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karlberg36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.60
FBK Karlstad41%fair 2.42 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.45Karlberg xG
1.56FBK Karlstad xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karlberg 1.4 – 1.6 FBK Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✗
41%
2.42
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Form
Karlberg – last 6
LDLWLL
23 May
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–2
L
13 May
@ Arlanda
1–1
D
3 May
@ Umeå FC
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Assyriska FF
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Enköping
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FBK Karlstad – last 6
DDWWLW
23 May
vs Arlanda
0–0
D
17 May
vs Umeå FC
1–1
D
14 May
@ Piteå
5–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karlberg and FBK Karlstad.
What is the prediction for Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
On our numbers Karlberg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FBK Karlstad 41%.
How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
